Nowy raport od Rochan Consulting:
https://rochanconsulting.substack.com/p/ukraine-conflict-monitor-6-february
TLDR:
Last week did not deliver strategic or operational changes in Ukraine;
According to the Ukrainian General Staff data, the average number of Russian artillery strikes increased to 101 last week. On Wednesday, 116 artillery strikes were conducted, the highest number since 7SEP. Although the latter half of the week saw a decline, the overall upward trend in the number of artillery fires continued;
Satellite imagery showed the establishment of Russian troop presence at training ranges near Kursk and Voronezh. These camps may belong to mobilised reservists, who are now being moved towards the border with Ukraine;
We do not consider a large-scale Russian offensive to be imminent; It is also unlikely to happen this week;
Russians may have captured some territory near Dvorchina in the Kharkiv Oblast last week, the first territorial gain in this area since the September pullback.
The situation near Kreminna is difficult for Ukrainian forces, which continue to resist Russian airborne and mechanised forces attacks;
In the Donetsk Oblast, Krasna Hora probably fell. Although Russians made minimal gains in Bakhmut, the situation west and north of the city deteriorated;
There were no changes in the broader Donetsk Oblast. Russian attacks did not deliver any frontline shifts; Russians were likely pushed back from their positions southeast of Vuhledar;
The situation in the Zaporizhihia and Kherson Oblast remained unchanged;
The exercise tempo of the Belarusian Armed Forces remained high, but we saw no changes in the Belarusian Armed Forces’ posture.
#wojna #rosja #ukraina #bialorus
